After the Nominations: My First-Look 2014 Oscar Predictions

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Well, the day has arrived, and the Academy has officially announced its nominations for each and every category at the 2014 Academy Awards. There are some notable snubs (or at least perceived snubs), some nice surprises, and a fair share of nominees whose fates were more-or-less set in stone, but let’s move beyond that discussion and into the one everyone (or perhaps no one) cares about: predicting the actual winners of the golden statuettes come Sunday, March 2.

As it currently stands in my very briefly thought out and probably hasty first batch of predictions, it looks as though Gravity, tied with American Hustle as the most nominated film with 10 tips of the hat, may well be the top trophy-getter on film’s big night. I’ve predicted it to notch 7 wins, including a Best Director triumph for Alfonso Cuaron, with 12 Years A Slave picking up 4 awards including Best Picture and Dallas Buyers Club the surprise third place finisher with 3 wins, led by wins in both male acting categories. Here is the breakdown in terms of predicted wins by each film, again excluding the shorts as I did in my nominations predictions:

Gravity: 7 wins
12 Years A Slave: 4 wins
Dallas Buyers Club: 3 wins
Frozen: 2 wins
The Act of Killing: 1 win
Blue Jasmine: 1 win
The Great Beauty: 1 win
The Great Gatsby: 1 win
Her: 1 win

With the totals out of the way, let’s take a look at my predictions for each category.

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Best Picture
1. 12 Years A Slave
2. American Hustle
3. Gravity
4. Nebraska
5. Dallas Buyers Club
6. Her
7. Captain Phillips
8. The Wolf of Wall Street
9. Philomena
 
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Best Actor
1. Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club
2. Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years A Slave
3. Bruce Dern, Nebraska
4. Leonardo DiCaprio, The Wolf of Wall Street
5. Christian Bale, American Hustle
 
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Best Supporting Actor
1. Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club
2. Michael Fassbender, 12 Years A Slave
3. Bradley Cooper, American Hustle
4. Barkhad Abdi, Captain Phillips
5. Jonah Hill, The Wolf of Wall Street
 
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Best Adapted Screenplay
1. 12 Years A Slave
2. Before Midnight
3. The Wolf of Wall Street
4. Philomena
5. Captain Phillips
 
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Best Animated Feature
1. Frozen
2. The Wind Rises
3. The Croods
4. Ernest and Celestine
5. Despicable Me 2
 
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Best Foreign Language Film
1. The Great Beauty
2. The Hunt
3. The Broken Circle Breakdown
4. Omar
5. The Missing Picture
 
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Best Original Score
1. Gravity
2. Saving Mr. Banks
3. Philomena
4. Her
5. The Book Thief
 
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Best Sound Mixing
1. Gravity
2. Captain Phillips
3. Lone Survivor
4. Inside Llewyn Davis
5. The Hobbit: Desolation of Smaug
 
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Best Production Design
1. 12 Years A Slave
2. The Great Gatsby
3. Gravity
4. American Hustle
5. Her
 
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Best Cinematography
1. Gravity
2. Inside Llewyn Davis
3. Prisoners
4. Nebraska
5. The Grandmaster
 
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Best Makeup & Hairstyling
1. Dallas Buyers Club
2. Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa
3. The Lone Ranger
 
Best Director
1. Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity
2. David O. Russell, American Hustle
3. Steve McQueen, 12 Years A Slave
4. Alexander Payne, Nebraska
5. Martin Scorsese, The Wolf of Wall Street
 
 
 
 
 
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Best Actress
1. Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
2. Amy Adams, American Hustle
3. Judi Dench, Philomena
4. Sandra Bullock, Gravity
5. Meryl Streep, August: Osage County
 
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Best Supporting Actress
1. Lupita Nyongo, 12 Years A Slave
2. Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle
3. June Squibb, Nebraska
4. Julia Roberts, August Osage: County
5. Sally Hawkins, Blue Jasmine
 
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Best Original Screenplay
1. Her
2. American Hustle
3. Nebraska
4. Blue Jasmine
5. Dallas Buyers Club
 
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Best Documentary Feature
1. The Act of Killing
2. 20 Feet from Stardom
3. The Square
4. Dirty Wars
5. Cutie and the Boxer
 
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Best Film Editing
1. Gravity
2. American Hustle
3. Captain Phillips
4. 12 Years A Slave
5. Dallas Buyers Club
 
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Best Original Song
1. “Let It Go”, Frozen
2. “Ordinary Love”, Mandela
3. “The Moon Song”, Her
4. “Happy”, Despicable Me 2
5. “Alone Yet Not Alone”, Alone Yet Not Alone
 
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Best Sound Editing
1. Gravity
2. Captain Phillips
3. All Is Lost
4. Lone Survivor
5. The Hobbit: Desolation of Smaug
 
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Best Visual Effects
1. Gravity
2. The Hobbit: Desolation of Smaug
3. Iron Man 3
4. Star Trek Into Darkness
5. The Lone Ranger
 
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Best Costume Design
1. The Great Gatsby
2. 12 Years A Slave
3. American Hustle
4. The Invisible Woman
5. The Grandmaster
 
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